The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Ferrous lithium phosphate has strong demand, so it is hard to hide the embarrassment of "meager profit" because the orders of enterprises are full. In December, the Ferrous lithium phosphate market continued to heat up, and most enterprises had full orders. However, contrary to the fiery market, it is still difficult for most enterprises to reverse the "meager profit" situation. "From the market situation, the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage markets has promoted the warming of the Ferrous lithium phosphate market. Most Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises are affected by factors such as rising raw material prices, weak bargaining power of products and fierce competition in the industry, resulting in pressure on profits. " Researchers said that in the long run, with the technological progress and market expansion, the profitability of Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises is expected to improve. (Securities Daily)Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of the current macro policy. The article said that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.
The Brazilian real rose to 1.6% against the US dollar.The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. (SSE)International oil prices rose on the 11th. As of the close of the day, the futures price of light crude oil for January 2025 in the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by $1.70 to close at $70.29 per barrel, an increase of 2.48%. London Brent crude oil futures for delivery in February 2025 rose by $1.33 to close at $73.52 per barrel, an increase of 1.84%.
Aiming at the low-interest inclusive credit intermediary packaging, I recently visited a number of loan intermediaries and found that these companies are very similar in business layout and office space. The bank logo on the wall is standard, and the daily performance information of loan managers is scrolled on the electronic screen hanging at the entrance. Observing the screen, it is not difficult to find that the Pratt & Whitney mortgage loan for small and micro enterprises is the main product of loan managers in the near future. Customizing shell companies for borrowers according to bank audit requirements to apply for mortgage loans has become a routine means for loan intermediaries to attract customers. Although many banks explicitly require that cooperation with loan intermediaries is not allowed, the attitude of bank branches and grassroots employees towards loan intermediaries is ambiguous. According to industry insiders, inclusive loans are special loans that benefit small and micro enterprises, farmers and other special groups and must be implemented. With the implementation of the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises, banks and enterprises are expected to achieve accurate docking, so that credit resources can flow to small and micro enterprises with real financing needs. (CSI)Russian Presidential Press Secretary: Russia supports the exchange of prisoners of war between Russia and Ukraine proposed by Hungarian Prime Minister. On December 12, local time, Russian Presidential Press Secretary peskov said that Hungarian Prime Minister Orban proposed the exchange of prisoners of war between the two sides and a ceasefire during the New Year holiday on the 11th. The Russian side has submitted the Russian proposal for prisoner exchange to the Hungarian Embassy in Russia. Judging from Zelensky's reaction, the Ukrainian side rejected all Orban's proposals. Peskov emphasized that Russia supports Orban's proposal and the settlement of humanitarian issues related to the exchange of prisoners of war. (CCTV News)The settlement price of international crude oil rose by over 2%. As of the close of the day, the futures price of light crude oil delivered in January 2025 in the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by 1.70 US dollars to close at 70.29 US dollars per barrel, an increase of 2.48%; London Brent crude oil futures for delivery in February 2025 rose by $1.33 to close at $73.52 per barrel, an increase of 1.84%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide